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Re Test

PostPosted: Sun Feb 08, 2009 10:00 am
by daz6215
Here is a quote from a study carried out from the TRL

a study has been carried out to measure the extent that a driving test can be used to predict the subsequent accident records of those drivers who pass and those drivers who fail it.the prediction of accidents for groups of drivers through the knowledge of other driver characteristics has also been examined.the test investigated was that of the institute of advanced motorists.results have indicated that the group of motorists who passed this test had 25 per cent fewer accidents over the 3 year period after taking the test than those who failed.this is a statistically significant difference and demonstrates quantitatively that driver testing by subjective methods is a useful road safety measure in that it can successfully identify a group of drivers who will have more accidents.multivariate analysis has been applied to the various characteristics measured in the survey to find whether the identification of drivers with future good or bad accident records can be made more reliable and the relevance to testing in general is discussed.(a)

PostPosted: Sun Feb 08, 2009 10:45 am
by martine
Good stuff...have you got a link to the full article?

PostPosted: Sun Feb 08, 2009 10:59 am
by daz6215
I have Martin but you have to buy it from them , its a 62 page study. £30 hard copy £20 pdf. :cry:

PostPosted: Sun Feb 08, 2009 11:44 am
by Red Herring
I thought this was old news. Is it not on figures such as this that IAM Surety and other insurance companies based an alleged "reduction" in premiums for Advanced drivers. (although it may be that the figures I recall came from the insurance industry rather than the TRL). I say alleged because on the last couple of times I have tried to shop around for insurance renewals it didn't seem to make much difference.

PostPosted: Sun Feb 08, 2009 12:16 pm
by ROG
Red Herring wrote: I say alleged because on the last couple of times I have tried to shop around for insurance renewals it didn't seem to make much difference.


The DSA/DfT are trying to remedy this situation.

At the Leicester consultation the DSA stated that the Govt were trying to persuade Ins COs that the risks are lower in order to encourage post DSA test training.

Will it work......... well............