Silk wrote: I view inappropriate speed as a safety issue in the same way I view inappropriate distractions as a safety issue.
Silk wrote: Don't forget, my phone use during this million miles is negligible.
Silk wrote: I've driven well over a million miles, during which time . . . How many millions of simulated miles do you think I'd need to cover before a problem presented itself, and how would you prove it was down to using the phone?
waremark wrote: . . . our level of skill has to be sufficient to cope with a certain level of distraction . . . Our level of responsibility should be sufficient to avoid excessive distraction and to focus distracting activities on less hazard rich driving environments.
Horse wrote:Silk wrote: I view inappropriate speed as a safety issue in the same way I view inappropriate distractions as a safety issue.
I suppose you could argue that it's not absolutely necessary to use a mobile phone whilst driving, but then the same thing could be said about going faster, especially if going faster is for no other reason than having fun.
Actually, I often do argue against the 'need' (however justified) to go faster, in particular the 'progress imperative' as required to pass advanced tests.
Silk wrote: Don't forget, my phone use during this million miles is negligible.
I think that was a point I made regarding your expectation of a vast increas in phone-related crashes!
Silk wrote: I've driven well over a million miles, during which time . . . How many millions of simulated miles do you think I'd need to cover before a problem presented itself, and how would you prove it was down to using the phone?
Two points there, one I've actually already asked you: what evidence would you accept?
The other is, perhaps, in two parts two:
First, are people actually aware of the 'average' chance of dying on the roads? Probably not.
Second: more miles = greater exposure; doesn't that put you at higher risk? We'll probably need Ancient to answer that!
TripleS wrote:Horse wrote:....are people actually aware of the 'average' chance of dying on the roads? Probably not.
I'm just looking at that first bit, and thinking about the "four times more likely to crash" (or whatever the wording was) if you use a mobile phone while driving.
Even if that "four times" is right, if our normal level of risk is exceedingly low, then increasing it by a factor of four still leaves us very safe indeed, in which case I wouldn't worry about the 'problem' of mobile phone use.
To be honest, at no time in my 55 years of driving have I ever felt that the level of safety was worryingly low, and that I have been exposed to undue risk.
TripleS wrote:Hell, 1 in 200?
While the risk of dying in a road accident in any year in the UK approaches 1 in 20,000, the lifetime risk is 1 in 240.
It makes me wonder if I oughtn't to stay at home and keep me 'ead down!
michael769 wrote:TripleS wrote:Hell, 1 in 200?
Lifetime risks of death by specific causes are very high at first glance. But perhaps less surprising when you consider that you have a 100% chance of dying from something.While the risk of dying in a road accident in any year in the UK approaches 1 in 20,000, the lifetime risk is 1 in 240.
http://www.medicine.ox.ac.uk/bandolier/ ... rtpop.htmlIt makes me wonder if I oughtn't to stay at home and keep me 'ead down!
I'd not be too sure of that more people die in bed than in any other location.....
Sleep tight tonight.
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